Cap Gemini – World insurance Report 2018

world insurance report 2018

Cap Gemini and Efma published their annual report World Insurance Report 2018 last week. This report is usually the occasion for an interesting overview of what is happening on the market. I wrote an article on the 2017 version of this report . What should we remember from this edition?

Highlights of Cap Gemini’s World Insurance Report 2018

Because of the length, the article is separated into 3 pages, for each of the chapters.

If the results of the study provide welcome figures, the content of the World insurance report 2018 is unfortunately very clutter and does not really give proper reading to explain the situation.

Accelerate digital transformation

A necessary catch-up?

world insurance report 2018 Insurance ranks third in the customer experience score ranking ( Note: no explanation is provided on the measurement of this indicator ). This figure looks very good. On the other hand, as soon as one looks at the positive customer experience score, the result deteriorates. This is particularly the case when comparing the results with the banking sector.

world insurance report

It therefore seems clear that insurance needs to catch up on these issues. For example, the report cites the best ability of banks to leverage technology to benefit from customer touch points. ( Note: Certainly, but it is undeniable and well known that insurance has a natural deficit of points of contact with the bank, the stakes are not the same: for the bank to exploit, for insurance generate them … ).

By pushing the analysis on the satisfaction around the essential services, a significant difference appears on the simplicity of use: 36% of satisfied compared to 47% in the bank! The gap is also important in terms of speed of service.

world insurance report 2018

Regional variations

Regional variations exist, especially if we compare the levels of satisfaction between Europe and North America. If the French are eternally dissatisfied, this is not the case for all Europeans. The gap is also important enough to attract attention!

world insurance report 2018

Digital is a lever to break the traditional boundaries of customer interactions

Communication via digital channels is now well integrated, and it is now the mobile that is gaining importance! 40% of respondents believe that a mobile application is an important channel.

world insurance report 2018

Among the arguments invoked, that, classic ease (because common to many other uses of everyday life) and the other newer on personalization and individualized services.
The adoption of digital is an essential factor and opens new horizons for insurance. First, it generates an increase in the number of touch points. This creates new business opportunities. The new services that are associated with these uses are also an opportunity to improve the acquisition and retention of customers.

Proactive

There is room for improvement on the proactivity of insurance offers! Where there is often question of whether the insurance is too much or not enough for its customers, the answer is clear!

world insurance report 2018

Going even further, the proactivity of the insurer has a positive impact on the satisfaction of policyholders [/ inlinetweet].

world insurance report 2018

New challenges as technology advances

There are many examples of GAFA or other large multinational incursion tech in the perimeter of the financial sector. Insurance is one of the recurring targets of Amazon, Apple, Alibaba or Alphabet (Google). This type of competition requires traditional players to change gear to transform themselves by accelerating the pace. Indeed, more and more insureds say they are ready to take out a contract with giant tech. They are 1/5 to position themselves as such in Europe and 1/3 in North America and up to 40% in Asia and 50% in Latin America!

world insurance report 2018

Finally, if security issues are still in everyone’s mind, policyholders are increasingly willing to share their data in exchange for personalized services and additional values.

world insurance report 2018 world insurance report 2018

To conclude, the propensity to switch from a traditional insurer to a tech company can be analyzed from a demographic point of view. Indeed, some groups are more favorable than others (technophiles and generation Y), due to a customer experience deemed insufficient. ( Note: This is the beginning of adoption by early-adopters ) world insurance report 2018

25 insurtechs Oxbow 2018

25 insurtechs Oxbow 2018

Oxbow Partners is a UK-based consulting firm dedicated to the world of insurance. More specifically, they are specialized in topics that are changing the world of insurance, through 3 entry points: strategy, digital, and M&A. They just released a report called “ The 25 insurtechs Oxbow 2018 ” .

Introduction

I share the point of departure of Oxbow Partners, according to which there is no reliable criterion of comparison of insurtechs currently.

Some are interested in raised funds. However, I think financially speaking, raising money is not necessarily a positive criterion for a startup. Indeed, if it is necessary to pass caps, it can mean that it can not finance its growth alone.

I decided to classify them according to their contribution to the business value chain, but it is just as debatable because I do not take into account their economic sustainability.

In short, Oxbow Partners made its selection according to the following criteria:

25 insurtechs Oxbow 2018

In addition, they take up a concept now commonly accepted: insurtechs today are not only distributors (B2C), but are facilitators or accelerators in B2B.

Last interesting element, represented under the diagram below, they consider that after the abandonment of a phase of competition, in favor of the collaboration between big groups and insurtechs, one should see reappearing soon a competition of another kind . This could be explained, according to Oxbow Partners, in the event of insufficient commitment by insurers. 25 insurtechs Oxbow 2018

Selection of 25 insurtechs Oxbow 2018

25 insurtechs Oxbow 2018

The selected startups belong to 4 categories:

  • Distribution: These players are looking for end customers and need insurers or reinsurers to provide them with products
  • Data & analytics
  • Operations
  • Claims and fraud

These last 3 categories are actors who need insurers as clients.

Here is the selection presented differently.
25 insurtechs Oxbow 2018 25 insurtechs Oxbow 2018

The last pages of the report present a summary in 1 or 2 pages for each of the selected solutions.

Press review of January 30th 2018

revue de presse du 17 avril 2018

Here is a little overview of articles that caught my attention and deserve to appear in the press review of January 30th 2018!

Astonishing experimentation of CPAM

Links: The original article on The express , which raised lots of reactions, including this one in Le Monde .

The question of personal data and above all health data is really sensitive in France. Market players are also very focused on these issues in the context of the arrival of the GDPR regulation. However, this is the moment chosen by the Social Security to try an initiative really out of the ordinary. In an attempt to fight absenteeism, the Social Security has communicated to companies, whose absentee rate was 4 to 5 times higher than the average, the reasons for work stoppages, and first those related to MSDs ( Musculoskeletal disorders) and those of the PSR (Psycho-Social Risks).

The stated objective, in agreement with the trade unions, is to encourage the company to question the practices, and to consider prevention solutions upstream.

We are here in a very interesting process of exploitation of health data for the purpose of prevention! Crossing sources now allows this type of analysis, and it is interesting to note that neither the French CNIL nor the unions have opposed the approach, which shows the quality of the exercise!

Case to follow in a few months, with the first results of the test and an extension of the companies concerned.

Expanding Google’s artificial intelligence in Paris

Links: Articles of Jean-Christophe Gilbert , which relays articles Engadget and Bloomberg .

Following his visit to Paris on the road to Davos, Sundar Pichai, CEO of Google has announced its desire to strengthen, in Paris, his team dedicated to artificial intelligence. France is positioning itself as a real actor for the future on the subject.

More interesting, it turns out that Google’s offer tends to a SaaS offer, on the shelf, intended to be accessible to everyone, even without knowing how to code. This is the goal of Cloud AutoML vision (ML for machine learning).

Note: There is a free trial, I note in my todo to go try for you! If you have a specific use case (why not the pictures during claim’s FNOL), let’s do it together!

Emotional intelligence, or the complement to artificial intelligence

Link: http://www.propertycasualty360.com

A reminder of what is emotional intelligence and how it is now essential! In a context where artificial intelligence seems to take more and more space, it is interesting to follow a subject for which the role of the human seems to remain necessary!

The event to be

Novarica and the IOT insurance observatory offer a webinar on their research on February 28:

Registrations here!

Gras Savoye – Insurance Markets 2018

marchés de l'assurance 2018

The broker Gras Savoye, belonging to the Willis Towers Watson Group, published in september 2017 an interesting economic note on the transformation of the insurance markets 2018. They come back therefore, by business line, on current trends.

Overview

Overall, the French insurance market is rather stable:

  • The world market is down slightly
  • France remains an important market (5th world player), with just over 200 billion euros of premiums
  • Personal insurance accounts for 75% of this figure, and sees a rise in pension premiums
  • Property insurance is subject to strong competition, and is experiencing a significant increase in claims, which affects the underwriting results. This is due in particular to climatic events.

In the details of the 2018 insurance markets

In brief

Given the richness of the report, it is complicated to synthesize it, and I prefer to suggest that you refer to it if necessary. I prefer to present the plan!

insurance markets 2018 insurance markets 2018

Each theme is treated according to 5 axes:

  • Capacity / Appetite
  • Price
  • Deductibles
  • Warranties
  • Flexibility

Some key things to remember

  • 3 alternatives to risk transfer are presented:
    • Structured Insurance: covering the multi-year consequences of new or complex risks. (terrorism, pandemics, strikes, etc.)
    • parametric insurance : or index-based insurance, which i have already talked a lot here
    • Mutli-line / Multi-year approach: which reduces volatility
  • D&O (Executive) policies continue to evolve and adapt to changing risks. The tailor-made is put on this profitable and dynamic market (new regulations, cyber risks, etc. which increase the risks for managers).
  • There is growing interest in combined fraud / cyber collateral, although these mounts do not always yield the best proposals. Note: It is understandable that customers are always looking to hedge against an unknown risk, but perceived as critical .
  • Kidnap & Ransom products are in full swing, because of an international geopolitical context that is sometimes hazardous.

Conclusion: My opinion

This report is a mine of information, very technical, but essential to a good understanding of the complexity of heavy risks. A disadvantage on the bedside table, but imperatively under the elbow!

In hollow, one sees there appear, as often, the insurance products which could be generalized tomorrow. The trends observed, especially on cyber, fraud or regulatory aspects are in this sense good indicators of the future.

Press review January 15th, 2018

revue de presse du 17 avril 2018

Here is a little overview of articles that caught my attention and deserve to appear in the “press review January 15th, 2018”!

O’Reilly offers books on data and artificial intelligence

The famous publisher of computer science books has a library of 80 of its publications on big data, artificial intelligence and data science, published between 2012 and 2016. Essential detail: the download is free, in pdf, epub or mobi.

Remember: when it’s free, you’re the product! O’reilly asks for your name, first name and email to download, but nothing forces you to enter the real …

press review January 15th, 2018

Not so accidental road accidents

Mathieu Grossetête is a researcher at the university research center on public action and politics. We propose in the Diplomatic World a reading interestingly, accidentology by car.

It appears that the prevention policies of Road Safety may now reach their limits because they are poorly targeted! Or when the art of data analysis becomes essential to better control a phenomenon, and treat it correctly!

Exciting article to read, which makes us rethink the notion of risk analysis, the perception of events. Finally, it simply invites us to change our way of thinking.

press review January 15th, 2018

Typologies of wearables

Evan Kirstel, one of the leading thought leaders in connected health, offers us a panorama of typologies of connected objects for health, aka wearables. This one goes a little further than the usual dichotomy watch and bracelet vs balance!

press review January 15th, 2018

Deloitte: human collaboration – machines

A visual of a Deloitte study, found on Twitter, gives an interesting reading of the symbiotic relationship that can develop between humans and machines. All thanks to the service rendered!

press review January 15th, 2018

Axa and telemedicine

Jacques de Peretti, CeO of Axa in France announced this week the launch of telemedicine in companies and openness from service to experts.

The second service is the extension of the current service (which I had the opportunity to test personally and which is very good). On the other hand, the first one supposes major investments and questions around the model chosen by Axa.

The question of danger, posed by Olivier Harmant, is in my opinion not relevant.

press review January 15th, 2018

However, what is the return on investment of this model for a complementary insurer? Indeed, a teleconsultation at the expense of the complementary supposes a cost support higher than the usual part. In order to be financially attractive, such a service needs to be either cheaper than normal consultation or to reduce risks. For now, teleconsultation is a vector of brand image and carries a demarcation line with respect to the competition. However, when everyone will do it, it will be necessary to consider the business model that goes with it!

Finally, should not this be the role of an intermediary platform? The latter would make this service available and look for the insurer who answers it. On the contrary here, it is carried directly by a complementary insurance? What does this say about our public health insurance? A lot of questions, few answers for now!

Insurance, innovation and behaviorial evolution

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A conjunction of elements led me to reflect lately on the link between insurance, innovation and behavioral evolution! It is an opportunity to give you my point of view on the issue.

Insurance is often considered reactive. Indeed, it reacts to events called claims to compensate for the residual loss.

Campaigns, sometimes famous (I think about road safety), are intended to transform behavior upstream to reduce downstream losses. For the insurer, it is an initial investment that finds its ROI in reducing the indemnification. We are here in a model in which the insurer is a preventer and no longer just a compensator.

However, a lot of debate has taken place in recent years to give the insurer a more proactive societal role upstream to reduce risks and thus change behavior. The embedded telematics (with Pay-How-You-Drive offers for example) has often been seen as an incentive for good practice: if you drive better, I make you pay less. Ditto for connected bracelets of health: if you play sports, you will have a reduction.

However, we note that these approaches do not always work or that they are not effective. However, do not we say “chase the natural will come back at a gallop”? The challenge is therefore twofold:

  • Find new ways to influence behavior.
  • Adjust offers to better stick to individual behaviors rather than standardizing responses.

Nudges at the service of behavioral change

Context

It will probably not have escaped you that the last Nobel Prize in economics (2017 ) was awarded to research on the so-called behavioral economy. To learn more, read here . This is also called benevolent manipulation.

insurance innovation and behavioral evolution
Cover page of the book Guide to Behavioral Economics, free download here . Thanks to Yuri for giving me the paper book.

I will not attempt here to detail fully the possibilities offered for insurance, because it deserves to think seriously about it. Anyway, I invite you to read the very good article from one of my competitors on the issue. Here is the example cited:

For some American motor insurances, the declaration of the mileage achieved in the year (n) conditions the premium for the following year (n + 1). The average rate of under declaration is estimated at 15% compared to the Km actually made. A Nudge has been tested to try to improve the statements. Instead of signing the declaration on honor at the end of the document, the researchers put it on the heading of the document, before the declaration. This simple change results in a 10% increase in the number of Km declared, a gain for the insurer of $ 48 per insured. The simple reorganization of the structure of the document, the architecture of choice, makes it possible to modify the behavior of the insured and thus to increase the income.

Some examples of nudges for insurance

Here are some examples of nudges that are or could be relevant to insurance depending on the objectives:

  • Reducing risks: The incentive to drive better.
    • The solution implemented by Liberty Mutual and relayed here consists of a mixture of gamification and information to drivers. Thanks to embedded telematics, the solution allows everyone to consult their driving information and to consider how to drive better and therefore how to reduce their premium, the discount rate being updated live every day for 3 months before being fixed.
    • By extending the exercise outside the pure scope of intervention of the insurer, we can note that tracing, on the road, shorter white stripes gives the impression of going faster and encourages you to slow down without even realizing it.
  • The incentive to subscribe:
    • A study relayed in the book above (London Economics and YouGov in 2013 for the FCA) showed the impact of the presentation of the insurance offer in parallel with another product. This is the case for example when buying the insurance when buying a mobile or cancellation insurance.

 assurance innovation and behavioral evolution

Beyond the questionable ethical aspect, this shows the influence of the distribution strategy on the choices of insured.

  • The choice of priorities: Last-mile problems (read for it this article and that one)
    • Segmenting the populations can be done according to a probability of underwriting. By identifying 3 segments (low, medium and high effort) using artificial intelligence, we can then determine who has the strongest probability of traveling the last mile to the subscription. These populations, for which the effort is small, will be treated differently and maybe receive, when the time comes, a little nudge! This can be a text message, a small message on the screen or a welcome email when giving the little extra that will be enough to convince them.

I will come back to these questions later with other detailed use cases to imagine more precisely how to use these methods.

Adjust offers

Most of the current offers are very standardized. They take into account a need considered identical for all insureds. At the time of individualization, why could not we consider adapting the coverage more finely according to the real risks of the insured. I can already hear the reactions: “This is the essence of our job”, “We already do it”, the contracts offer options and choices of levels to ensure according to his needs. “Very good, but in truth, can one think otherwise?

The Wilov speech is very interesting on this point. Most auto insured drivers drive less than 50 days a year. Yet they are covered full time. By inventing the “Pay-When-You-Drive”, their starting premise is to charge drivers only when they drive! The price is not necessarily much lower, however, the feeling of the insured is much better (provided that the user experience is the appointment of course!).

The approach of Inspeer goes in a similar direction. Starting from the premise that changing the behavior is complicated, Emmanuelle Mury and her team are working on the notion of affinity groups that go around the use. Clearly, they identify similar behaviors, and create the corresponding supply. I will come back to this in a dedicated article!

In short, the notion of supply is still too much seen today as unique, identical for all. Indeed, IT systems did not allow to easily and quickly deploy variants and customization, or the illusion of personalization was at the marketing level. It’s time to move to a higher level!

 

And you what do you think? When do we start to revamp your offers?

Insurance innovators – Future of insurance 2017

future of insurance 2017

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Insurance Innovators (an offshoot of Market Force, which I had already talked about here for their report under the same title ) has just published the future of insurance 2017 (Future of General Insurance Report 2017).

7 themes are discussed (for a better readability I separated into several pages):

  • Innovation and Disruption
  • A changing regulatory environment
  • The future of underwriting and pricing
  • Value-added services
  • Touch Millenial Generation
  • Insurance in the Age of Machine Intelligence
  • Fraud in a connected world.

Written in partnership with the Chartered Insurance Institute , and sponsored by IBM, Sas and Smart Communications , this report is generic, but of quality. Market Force believes that insurers are poised to innovate and transform to keep pace with insurance companies, but the pace of transformation is still too slow. A tip: Act now! Continue reading “Insurance innovators – Future of insurance 2017”

Lexis Nexis – Best practices for predictive modelling

best practices for predictive modelling

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Lexis Nexis published this summer a white paper on the best practices for predictive modelling , or more precisely on the steps to follow to implement this type of solutions for small commercial.

According to them, 4 steps are necessary for a product creation of this type:

  • Ideation
  • Design and development
  • Implementation
  • Monitoring

So far nothing transcendent, isn’t it? Let’s check it out!

Ideation

Successful ideation assumes that two conditions are met: a strong sponsorship and a cross-functional team.

The responsibilities of this team are as follows:

  • Identify and validate the business problems to solve
  • Generate ideas on how to solve these issues with predictive models
  • Select the best ideas
  • Highlight the benefits of predictive models
  • Calculate implementation costs
  • Determine the ROI and justify the use of predictive models in relation to another solution
  • Establish acceptance of the topic among the teams.

Design and development

The report is focused on contracts / products for small businesses. The suggestion is then to go through an “insurance score” to analyze and estimate the risk and to price it, according to a probability of losses.

3 steps are needed:

best practices for predictive modelling

  • Data mining : nature of data, sources, refresh frequency, etc. For example, it is possible to use historical loss experience data ( Note: obviously …! ), but also credit data, or public data about the company. In a more detailed way, the geographical location is relevant. ( Note: at this point, note that we do not use anything complex! )
  • Model creation and validation : This is to determine, on the basis of a set of data, patterns or correlations that recur. We are here in deductive mode, we start from data to deduce a model. The challenge is to identify which data plays a role in achieving the desired goal . Then, it is possible to test the identifier models on data and production processes, to ensure that, when capturing the data, it is possible to categorize a new customer using the defined models.
    • Here is the kind of report that can be generated to define a number of groups to automate the subscription with 3 possible actions: acceptance (right), visa application (center) or automatic refusal (for worst groups).

    best practices for predictive modelling

  • Regulatory review : This aspect specific to the American market (but finally quite close to the regulatory aspects valid everywhere), suggests to compare the required data with the specificities of each state, and to apply, where applicable, restrictions.

implementation

The implementation is based on a few key steps

good practice predictive models

Monitoring

Finally, monitoring the relevance of the model assumes, on the one hand, to track the use that is made of this product, but also to measure its effectiveness.

best practices for predictive modelling

Monitoring

Finally, monitoring the relevance of the model assumes, on the one hand, to track the use that is made of this product, but also to measure its effectiveness.

best practices for predictive modelling

Tracking : Scores must be tracked when applied and when modified before application. In these latter cases, it is important to understand why and possibly modify the model iteratively to improve it.

Efficiency : The most important thing is to make sure in the long run that the model is good for achieving the business objectives that were originally defined. If this is not the case, it must either recalibrate (keep the mechanisms, but readjust the valuations), or rebuild it!

Small bonus on best practices for predictive modelling

Moreover, on this subject and always by Lexis Nexis, I invite you to consult this video, which includes some of the fundamentals:

best practices for predictive modelling

SwissRe – Global Insurance Review 2017

global insurance review 2017

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SwissRe has just published its global insurance review 2017 and its 2018 forecasts. The document is available at this link (Global insurance review) .

Innovation is essential, but to identify new answers, I remain convinced that we need to understand the state of the current market. This type of report is therefore essential to refine the grid of reading of what is happening in the world around us! This is particularly right as they give valuable insights into innovative solutions!

The four main themes covered in this document are:

  • Continued cyclical economic recovery at the macroeconomic level, although risks of instability persist;
  • Obviously, a big subject on the natural disasters of the year! These are causing great difficulties for all the systemic insurers in the area and therefore even more so for reinsurers;
  • Life insurance re-insurers adapt to the new deal;
  • Stable emerging markets in non-life and strong growth in life.

Key Points from the 2017 Global Insurance Review

More globally, here are the 10 points that SwissRe puts forward:

  • The rise of protectionism in large markets: in the United States, but also Brexit or the situation in Catalonia. This phenomenon is however not uniform (for example Latin America is liberalizing)
  • Monetary policy : what about the gradual end of quantitative easing?
  • Cyber ​​risk : The market is growing rapidly, and the stakes are high, particularly in terms of the quantity and quality of data needed for risk monitoring and pricing. A particular focus is to read p15 of the doc on this subject. Indeed, an estimated growth of 30% per annum of this market over the next 5 years should not be underestimated.
  • Increasing auto claims : More and more miles traveled, more traffic and distracted driving are the first drivers. The key is always technical results.
  • Brexit and the UK insurance market: Depending on the UK exit format, premiums should be reduced by 8 to 20%. This is a considerable shock on the market.
  • Innovate to increase the scope of insurability, especially in the “commercial” segments: I come back to this point just after
  • Losses related to Natural disasters (hurricanes).
  • Protecting Floods : Tools now exist to assess flood risk, and collaboration with states is needed to ensure the best coverage of this risk.
  • IFRS17 : Investments will be needed around the data to ensure good data collection and analysis.
  • Insurtechs in China : I’ll come back to this point below.

Increase insurability

On the perimeter of the “commercial” contracts (on which I am working rather seriously lately), innovation brings new solutions.

Swiss Re cites, of course, parametric insurance solutions, coupled with a global vision of risk, that solve complexities of the process at the time of the claims. On the other hand, it does not bring any real additional value talking about premium reduction for example.

The most important point about these contracts is that it is now possible to insure elements previously impossible to cover. This offers interesting growth opportunities. For example: image loss, product recalls, weather protection, or financial risks of increasing energy prices. This is now possible thanks to better access to risk data and a better assessment of its consequences.

Insurance can therefore strengthen its position as a protector of corporate investments and offset the risks of earnings volatility.

global insurance review 2017 global insurance review 2017

Insurtechs in China

A small recap is proposed on the issue of insurtech in China, where the growth of Zhong An is particularly impressive (insurtech largest insurer of the world).

2 successive waves took place in China:

  • A first from 2001, around the online distribution, which brought the online market share to almost 8%;
  • The second in recent years, which exploits new technologies and especially big data (telematics or insurance to use / UBI)

Prospects can still open up to cover the ecosystem of e-commerce, and even consider the entry of new players outside the insurance world.

The Chinese regulator seeks to constrain certain segments (such as online lending), but it is generally rather a support for innovation.

global insurance review 2017 global insurance review 2017

My opinion on the global insurance review 2017

Always of very good quality, the Swiss Re reports are full of information and figures. One could blame them for their lack of pedagogy and the austere aspect of their reports, which prevent a diffusion to the greatest number. It may be the price of quality!